Getting our MOJO back for the Holidays

So, I promised I wouldn’t whine, cry or make excuses for losses, which is why I have been silent for awhile.  With the start we got off to, there was not much to say, with whining, crying and making excuses off the table.  Confidence would ring hollow while carrying a 7-21 units record and 5-11 games record ( just 2 weeks ago), so I bit my lip and bided my time.

So now, with all due respect to Arnold…………………..”I’m Back”

Over the past 2 weeks our record was 9-1 in games to pull two games above .500 at 14-12.  In that same span we went 15-3 in units to pull above .500 at 22-21

Make no mistake, .500 is not an acceptable record for the season, but it is territory we had to move through to get to our goal of .600 or better and there is plenty of time and games left to reach the goal.

This week, not only were we perfect against the spread, two of our underdogs won outright. We won with both a double digit dog (Texans) and a double digit favorite (Bucs).  I really enjoyed every commentator saying “who would have ever thought Houston would beat Tennessee” ……….even though I didn’t think so either.  The point is that it doesn’t matter what I think or what anyone else thinks if you have a reliable system/algorithm/green machine that tells you who to bet on and you trust it enough to play the picks it generates, despite what you may think.

Of course, I would have preferred a hot start or even a slow steady 2-2 every week to reach this point, rather than find myself in a huge hole early on, that required a major 2 week hot streak to overcome, but the point is—we are where we are, no matter how we got here.  The question now is whether our streak continues.  History is on our side.  League wide parity against the spread has existed for as long as I have tracked it—36 years---- and the Green Machine has been able to mechanically generate selections on that basis that cover over 60% per season, for the past 4 years.  No reason this year should be any different.  The statistics are based on a full season, not a few isolated weeks.  Every year there are good weeks and bad weeks, but in the end the winning percentage has been 60% or better each of the past four seasons.  This year, we just happened to have a few bad weeks in a row early on.

So, enjoy the Holidays.  We will be playing the Raiders on Thanksgiving Day.  I wanted to get that out early because of the commotion and distractions surrounding the Holidays.  I will tweet on Thursday with the spread we are playing and for how many units, but at least you know who to play now.  There will be another 5 games, for a total of 6 in Week 12.